Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L Playoffs Win SB
1 11.6 14.0 2.0 99.7% 35.7%
2 8.0 12.9 3.1 94.7% 17.5%
3 5.6
Minnesota (4-2)
10.3 5.7 62.5% 5.5%
4 5.4 9.9 6.1 78.5% 6.4%
5 4.5
Green Bay (4-1)
10.5 5.5 69.4% 5.8%
6 4.2
Houston (4-2)
9.9 6.1 74.1% 5.0%
7 3.1
LA Rams (3-3)
8.9 7.1 31.8% 1.3%
8 3.0
Carolina (4-2)
9.6 6.4 51.0% 2.7%
9 2.7 10.6 5.4 71.4% 4.0%
10 2.7
Chicago (3-2)
8.9 7.1 34.8% 1.9%
11 2.4
Baltimore (4-2)
9.2 6.8 65.5% 2.7%
12 1.8 9.0 7.0 59.6% 1.8%
13 1.7
Seattle (5-1)
9.9 6.1 48.5% 1.8%
14 1.3
Dallas (3-3)
8.1 7.9 39.5% 1.1%
15 0.9
Tennessee (2-4)
7.0 9.0 15.8% 0.5%
16 0.8 8.0 8.0 39.1% 1.0%
17 0.7 6.4 9.6 12.3% 0.3%
18 0.3
Buffalo (4-1)
10.4 5.6 80.3% 1.3%
19 0.2 7.3 8.7 22.4% 0.5%
20 0.0 8.5 7.5 42.4% 1.2%
21 -0.3
Denver (2-4)
6.5 9.5 13.3% 0.3%
22 -0.4
Tampa Bay (2-4)
6.9 9.1 7.5% 0.2%
23 -0.9
Detroit (2-1-1)
7.5 7.5 20.7% 0.6%
24 -1.4
Cleveland (2-4)
7.2 8.8 24.9% 0.4%
25 -2.4
Atlanta (1-5)
4.9 11.1 1.4% 0.0%
26 -2.5
Oakland (3-2)
7.6 8.4 26.5% 0.4%
27 -6.1
NY Jets (1-4)
5.8 10.2 4.6% 0.0%
28 -6.3
NY Giants (2-4)
6.1 9.9 6.3% 0.0%
29 -6.8
Arizona (2-3-1)
4.7 10.3 0.6% 0.0%
30 -6.9 3.7 12.3 0.7% 0.0%
31 -9.7 3.4 12.6 0.1% 0.0%
32 -17.2
Miami (0-5)
1.5 14.5 0.0% 0.0%